Thursday, August 16, 2007

Dahmer is trending north...

According to the latest NHC discussion:

"The initial motion is 280/21. Dean is on the south side of a deep-layer ridge...which large-scale models forecast to build westward during the forecast period. This building ridge is forecast to push aside a mid/upper-level low currently east of Florida...and should this happen that system would have little interaction with Dean. The pattern evolution should keep Dean moving quickly westward to west-northwestward through the forecast period. The track guidance is in good agreement with this scenario...and the models are very tightly clustered around a trackthrough the Caribbean Sea to near the Yucatan Peninsula in five days. The new forecast track is basically an update of the previous package....and is in best agreement with the various consensus models."